KalshiActive

Who will advance from California's primary for Governor? (Candidates)

Event Ticker
KXGOVCAPRIMARY-26
Category
Elections
24h Volume
100
Expiration
Jun 2, 2027, 2:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Oct 9Feb 26
  • :: Democratic

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

:: Democratic

Active

Yes

3.00%

No

97.00%

Market Ticker
KXGOVCAPRIMARY-26-RCAR
Last Price
(1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
95¢ / 99¢
Open Interest
4.53K
Volume (24h)
232

:: Democratic

Active

Yes

27.00%

No

73.00%

Market Ticker
KXGOVCAPRIMARY-26-KPOR
Last Price
27¢ (27.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
25¢ / 29¢
No Bid / Ask
71¢ / 75¢
Open Interest
3.34K
Volume (24h)
31

:: Republican

Active

Yes

38.50%

No

61.50%

Market Ticker
KXGOVCAPRIMARY-26-SHIL
Last Price
39¢ (39.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
36¢ / 41¢
No Bid / Ask
59¢ / 64¢
Open Interest
1.54K
Volume (24h)
0

:: Democratic

Active

Yes

59.50%

No

40.50%

Market Ticker
KXGOVCAPRIMARY-26-ESWA
Last Price
61¢ (61.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
57¢ / 62¢
No Bid / Ask
38¢ / 43¢
Open Interest
4.15K
Volume (24h)
33

Who will win California's top-two primary for governor?

Active

Yes

2.50%

No

97.50%

Market Ticker
KXGOVCAPRIMARY-26-EAGA
Last Price
(3.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
96¢ / 99¢
Open Interest
1.94K
Volume (24h)
0

:: Democratic

Active

Yes

7.50%

No

92.50%

Market Ticker
KXGOVCAPRIMARY-26-AVIL
Last Price
10¢ (10.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
91¢ / 94¢
Open Interest
925
Volume (24h)
0

:: Democratic

Active

Yes

2.00%

No

98.00%

Market Ticker
KXGOVCAPRIMARY-26-RBON
Last Price
(1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
96¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
1.08K
Volume (24h)
1

:: Democratic

Active

Yes

20.00%

No

80.00%

Market Ticker
KXGOVCAPRIMARY-26-TSTE
Last Price
23¢ (23.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
17¢ / 23¢
No Bid / Ask
77¢ / 83¢
Open Interest
1.4K
Volume (24h)
0

:: Republican

Active

Yes

23.50%

No

76.50%

Market Ticker
KXGOVCAPRIMARY-26-CBIA
Last Price
26¢ (26.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
22¢ / 25¢
No Bid / Ask
75¢ / 78¢
Open Interest
1.71K
Volume (24h)
0

:: Democratic

Active

Yes

28.00%

No

72.00%

Market Ticker
KXGOVCAPRIMARY-26-MMAH
Last Price
20¢ (20.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
26¢ / 30¢
No Bid / Ask
70¢ / 74¢
Open Interest
1.92K
Volume (24h)
100

:: Democratic

Active

Yes

9.00%

No

91.00%

Market Ticker
KXGOVCAPRIMARY-26-XBEC
Last Price
(8.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 11¢
No Bid / Ask
89¢ / 93¢
Open Interest
416
Volume (24h)
0

:: Democratic

Active

Yes

1.50%

No

98.50%

Market Ticker
KXGOVCAPRIMARY-26-EKOUN
Last Price
(1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
98¢ / 99¢
Open Interest
1.24K
Volume (24h)
0

:: Democratic

Active

Yes

0.50%

No

99.50%

Market Ticker
KXGOVCAPRIMARY-26-KHAR
Last Price
(1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
514
Volume (24h)
1

:: Democratic

Active

Yes

6.00%

No

94.00%

Market Ticker
KXGOVCAPRIMARY-26-BYEE
Last Price
(9.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
92¢ / 96¢
Open Interest
176
Volume (24h)
0

:: Democratic

Active

Yes

5.00%

No

95.00%

Market Ticker
KXGOVCAPRIMARY-26-TTHU
Last Price
(4.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
94¢ / 96¢
Open Interest
75
Volume (24h)
0

Rules

If Matt Mahan advances to the general election for California governor in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.