KalshiActive

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Event Ticker
KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01
Category
Politics
24h Volume
6.18K
Expiration
Jan 8, 2027, 3:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Dec 2Mar 16
  • Will Tim Walz be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Will Tim Walz be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

42.50%

No

57.50%

Market Ticker
KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-TWAL
Last Price
42¢ (42.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
42¢ / 43¢
No Bid / Ask
57¢ / 58¢
Open Interest
72.21K
Volume (24h)
8.32K

Will Bill Clinton be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

19.50%

No

80.50%

Market Ticker
KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-BCLI
Last Price
20¢ (20.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
19¢ / 20¢
No Bid / Ask
80¢ / 81¢
Open Interest
6.38K
Volume (24h)
1.02K

Will Barack Obama be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

10.50%

No

89.50%

Market Ticker
KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-BOBA
Last Price
12¢ (12.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
10¢ / 11¢
No Bid / Ask
89¢ / 90¢
Open Interest
13.53K
Volume (24h)
202

Will Letitia James be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

50.50%

No

49.50%

Market Ticker
KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-LJAM
Last Price
49¢ (49.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
49¢ / 52¢
No Bid / Ask
48¢ / 51¢
Open Interest
6.6K
Volume (24h)
1.08K

Will Don Lemon be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

77.50%

No

22.50%

Market Ticker
KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-DLEM
Last Price
80¢ (80.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
76¢ / 79¢
No Bid / Ask
21¢ / 24¢
Open Interest
6.53K
Volume (24h)
6.18K

Will James Comey be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

44.50%

No

55.50%

Market Ticker
KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-JCOM
Last Price
46¢ (46.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
42¢ / 47¢
No Bid / Ask
53¢ / 58¢
Open Interest
5.53K
Volume (24h)
527

Will Adam Schiff be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

32.00%

No

68.00%

Market Ticker
KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-ASCH
Last Price
33¢ (33.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
31¢ / 33¢
No Bid / Ask
67¢ / 69¢
Open Interest
3.41K
Volume (24h)
51

Will Hillary Clinton be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

18.50%

No

81.50%

Market Ticker
KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-HCLI
Last Price
20¢ (20.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
17¢ / 20¢
No Bid / Ask
80¢ / 83¢
Open Interest
5.19K
Volume (24h)
66

Will Jack Smith be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

32.50%

No

67.50%

Market Ticker
KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-JSMI
Last Price
34¢ (34.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
31¢ / 34¢
No Bid / Ask
66¢ / 69¢
Open Interest
3.03K
Volume (24h)
70

Will James Clapper be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

35.00%

No

65.00%

Market Ticker
KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-JCLA
Last Price
37¢ (37.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
33¢ / 37¢
No Bid / Ask
63¢ / 67¢
Open Interest
2.4K
Volume (24h)
33

Will Pam Bondi be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

8.50%

No

91.50%

Market Ticker
KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-PBON
Last Price
9¢ (9.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
8¢ / 9¢
No Bid / Ask
91¢ / 92¢
Open Interest
2.98K
Volume (24h)
20

Will Mark Kelly be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

14.00%

No

86.00%

Market Ticker
KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-MKEL
Last Price
16¢ (16.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
12¢ / 16¢
No Bid / Ask
84¢ / 88¢
Open Interest
1.71K
Volume (24h)
21

Will Anthony Fauci be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

12.50%

No

87.50%

Market Ticker
KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-AFAU
Last Price
12¢ (12.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
12¢ / 13¢
No Bid / Ask
87¢ / 88¢
Open Interest
2K
Volume (24h)
7

Will Jerome Powell be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

16.00%

No

84.00%

Market Ticker
KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-JPOW
Last Price
18¢ (18.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
15¢ / 17¢
No Bid / Ask
83¢ / 85¢
Open Interest
2.82K
Volume (24h)
230

Will Ilhan Omar be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

44.00%

No

56.00%

Market Ticker
KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-IOMA
Last Price
39¢ (39.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
42¢ / 46¢
No Bid / Ask
54¢ / 58¢
Open Interest
3.1K
Volume (24h)
947

Will Hunter Biden be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

14.00%

No

86.00%

Market Ticker
KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-HBID
Last Price
18¢ (18.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
12¢ / 16¢
No Bid / Ask
84¢ / 88¢
Open Interest
2.93K
Volume (24h)
0

Will Jacob Frey be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

31.50%

No

68.50%

Market Ticker
KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-JFRE
Last Price
35¢ (35.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
30¢ / 33¢
No Bid / Ask
67¢ / 70¢
Open Interest
2.4K
Volume (24h)
2.28K

Will Liz Cheney be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

9.50%

No

90.50%

Market Ticker
KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-LCHE
Last Price
10¢ (10.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
9¢ / 10¢
No Bid / Ask
90¢ / 91¢
Open Interest
1.95K
Volume (24h)
0

Will Christopher Wray be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

18.50%

No

81.50%

Market Ticker
KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-CWRA
Last Price
17¢ (17.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
17¢ / 20¢
No Bid / Ask
80¢ / 83¢
Open Interest
1.5K
Volume (24h)
0

Will Joe Biden be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

6.50%

No

93.50%

Market Ticker
KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-JBID
Last Price
7¢ (7.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
6¢ / 7¢
No Bid / Ask
93¢ / 94¢
Open Interest
1.29K
Volume (24h)
0

Will Keith Ellison be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

30.50%

No

69.50%

Market Ticker
KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-KELL
Last Price
33¢ (33.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
28¢ / 33¢
No Bid / Ask
67¢ / 72¢
Open Interest
875
Volume (24h)
497

Will John Brennan be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

50.00%

No

50.00%

Market Ticker
KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-JBRE
Last Price
53¢ (53.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
47¢ / 53¢
No Bid / Ask
47¢ / 53¢
Open Interest
795
Volume (24h)
336

Will Mark Milley be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

18.00%

No

82.00%

Market Ticker
KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-MMIL
Last Price
19¢ (19.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
17¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask
81¢ / 83¢
Open Interest
983
Volume (24h)
4

Will Alvin Bragg be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

14.50%

No

85.50%

Market Ticker
KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-ABRA
Last Price
18¢ (18.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
12¢ / 17¢
No Bid / Ask
83¢ / 88¢
Open Interest
945
Volume (24h)
0

Will Peter Strzok be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

22.50%

No

77.50%

Market Ticker
KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-PSTR
Last Price
25¢ (25.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
22¢ / 23¢
No Bid / Ask
77¢ / 78¢
Open Interest
601
Volume (24h)
0

Will Chris Krebs be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

24.00%

No

76.00%

Market Ticker
KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-CKRE
Last Price
35¢ (35.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
23¢ / 25¢
No Bid / Ask
75¢ / 77¢
Open Interest
350
Volume (24h)
0

Will Chris Christie be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

7.50%

No

92.50%

Market Ticker
KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-CCHR
Last Price
10¢ (10.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
7¢ / 8¢
No Bid / Ask
92¢ / 93¢
Open Interest
324
Volume (24h)
0

Will Fani Willis be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

31.50%

No

68.50%

Market Ticker
KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-FWIL
Last Price
30¢ (30.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
29¢ / 34¢
No Bid / Ask
66¢ / 71¢
Open Interest
103
Volume (24h)
0

Will Elissa Slotkin be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

9.00%

No

91.00%

Market Ticker
KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-ESLO
Last Price
14¢ (14.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
5¢ / 13¢
No Bid / Ask
87¢ / 95¢
Open Interest
134
Volume (24h)
0

Will Lisa Cook be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

18.00%

No

82.00%

Market Ticker
KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-LCOO
Last Price
20¢ (20.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
16¢ / 20¢
No Bid / Ask
80¢ / 84¢
Open Interest
114
Volume (24h)
0

Rules

If Don Lemon has been formally charged with a federal crime after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.