KalshiActive

Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?

Event Ticker
KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07
Category
Elections
24h Volume
1
Expiration
Nov 14, 2028, 3:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 16Mar 10
  • Will Gretchen Whitmer be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Will Gavin Newsom be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?

Active

Yes

19.50%

No

80.50%

Market Ticker
KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-GNEW
Last Price
23¢ (23.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
16¢ / 23¢
No Bid / Ask
77¢ / 84¢
Open Interest
1.49K
Volume (24h)
21

Will Josh Shapiro be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?

Active

Yes

11.50%

No

88.50%

Market Ticker
KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-JSHA
Last Price
7¢ (7.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
8¢ / 15¢
No Bid / Ask
85¢ / 92¢
Open Interest
536
Volume (24h)
0

Will Gretchen Whitmer be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?

Active

Yes

9.50%

No

90.50%

Market Ticker
KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-GWHI
Last Price
8¢ (8.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
8¢ / 11¢
No Bid / Ask
89¢ / 92¢
Open Interest
670
Volume (24h)
0

Will J.B. Pritzker be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?

Active

Yes

10.50%

No

89.50%

Market Ticker
KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-JPRI
Last Price
14¢ (14.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
7¢ / 14¢
No Bid / Ask
86¢ / 93¢
Open Interest
250
Volume (24h)
1

Will Kamala Harris be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?

Active

Yes

1.50%

No

98.50%

Market Ticker
KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-KHAR
Last Price
3¢ (3.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
0¢ / 3¢
No Bid / Ask
97¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
232
Volume (24h)
1

Will Pete Buttigieg be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?

Active

Yes

7.50%

No

92.50%

Market Ticker
KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-PBUT
Last Price
8¢ (8.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
7¢ / 8¢
No Bid / Ask
92¢ / 93¢
Open Interest
199
Volume (24h)
1

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?

Active

Yes

5.00%

No

95.00%

Market Ticker
KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-AOCA
Last Price
4¢ (4.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
3¢ / 7¢
No Bid / Ask
93¢ / 97¢
Open Interest
170
Volume (24h)
0

Will Andy Beshear be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?

Active

Yes

11.00%

No

89.00%

Market Ticker
KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-ABES
Last Price
10¢ (10.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
8¢ / 14¢
No Bid / Ask
86¢ / 92¢
Open Interest
140
Volume (24h)
0

Will Wes Moore be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?

Active

Yes

3.00%

No

97.00%

Market Ticker
KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-WMOO
Last Price
4¢ (4.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
2¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask
96¢ / 98¢
Open Interest
67
Volume (24h)
1

Will Jon Ossoff be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?

Active

Yes

3.50%

No

96.50%

Market Ticker
KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-JOSS
Last Price
2¢ (2.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
2¢ / 5¢
No Bid / Ask
95¢ / 98¢
Open Interest
11
Volume (24h)
0

Rules

If J.B. Pritzker is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.