KalshiActive

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Event Ticker
KXCABOUT-29
Category
Politics
24h Volume
1.14K
Expiration
Jan 20, 2029, 3:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Aug 19Feb 3
  • Will Kristi Noem be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Will Pete Hegseth be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Active

Yes

5.50%

No

94.50%

Market Ticker
KXCABOUT-29-PH
Last Price
6¢ (6.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
5¢ / 6¢
No Bid / Ask
94¢ / 95¢
Open Interest
318.65K
Volume (24h)
4.1K

Will Pam Bondi be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Active

Yes

26.00%

No

74.00%

Market Ticker
KXCABOUT-29-PB
Last Price
25¢ (25.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
25¢ / 27¢
No Bid / Ask
73¢ / 75¢
Open Interest
343.68K
Volume (24h)
19.27K

Will Kristi Noem be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Active

Yes

13.50%

No

86.50%

Market Ticker
KXCABOUT-29-KN
Last Price
14¢ (14.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
13¢ / 14¢
No Bid / Ask
86¢ / 87¢
Open Interest
257.5K
Volume (24h)
5.56K

Will Tulsi Gabbard be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Active

Yes

8.50%

No

91.50%

Market Ticker
KXCABOUT-29-TG
Last Price
9¢ (9.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
8¢ / 9¢
No Bid / Ask
91¢ / 92¢
Open Interest
192.4K
Volume (24h)
6.27K

Will Susie WIles be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Active

Yes

5.00%

No

95.00%

Market Ticker
KXCABOUT-29-SW
Last Price
7¢ (7.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
3¢ / 7¢
No Bid / Ask
93¢ / 97¢
Open Interest
165.66K
Volume (24h)
6.38K

Will Stephen Miran be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Active

Yes

4.50%

No

95.50%

Market Ticker
KXCABOUT-29-SM
Last Price
4¢ (4.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
4¢ / 5¢
No Bid / Ask
95¢ / 96¢
Open Interest
142.2K
Volume (24h)
234

Will Howard Lutnick be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Active

Yes

7.00%

No

93.00%

Market Ticker
KXCABOUT-29-HL
Last Price
8¢ (8.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
6¢ / 8¢
No Bid / Ask
92¢ / 94¢
Open Interest
165.41K
Volume (24h)
6.89K

Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Active

Yes

14.00%

No

86.00%

Market Ticker
KXCABOUT-29-LCD
Last Price
15¢ (15.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
13¢ / 15¢
No Bid / Ask
85¢ / 87¢
Open Interest
180.2K
Volume (24h)
4.6K

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Active

Yes

1.50%

No

98.50%

Market Ticker
KXCABOUT-29-RFK
Last Price
2¢ (2.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
1¢ / 2¢
No Bid / Ask
98¢ / 99¢
Open Interest
143.45K
Volume (24h)
481

Will Marco Rubio be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Active

Yes

1.50%

No

98.50%

Market Ticker
KXCABOUT-29-MR
Last Price
2¢ (2.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
1¢ / 2¢
No Bid / Ask
98¢ / 99¢
Open Interest
147.24K
Volume (24h)
151

Will Scott Bessent be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Active

Yes

1.50%

No

98.50%

Market Ticker
KXCABOUT-29-SB
Last Price
2¢ (2.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
1¢ / 2¢
No Bid / Ask
98¢ / 99¢
Open Interest
141.03K
Volume (24h)
1.84K

Will Elise Stefanik be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Active

Yes

0.50%

No

99.50%

Market Ticker
KXCABOUT-29-ES
Last Price
1¢ (1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
0¢ / 1¢
No Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
140.06K
Volume (24h)
3.57K

Will Linda McMahon be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Active

Yes

1.50%

No

98.50%

Market Ticker
KXCABOUT-29-LM
Last Price
2¢ (2.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
1¢ / 2¢
No Bid / Ask
98¢ / 99¢
Open Interest
132.01K
Volume (24h)
1.42K

Will Chris Wright be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Active

Yes

3.50%

No

96.50%

Market Ticker
KXCABOUT-29-CW
Last Price
5¢ (5.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
3¢ / 4¢
No Bid / Ask
96¢ / 97¢
Open Interest
143.21K
Volume (24h)
1.18K

Will Sean Duffy be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Active

Yes

0.50%

No

99.50%

Market Ticker
KXCABOUT-29-SD
Last Price
1¢ (1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
0¢ / 1¢
No Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
116.89K
Volume (24h)
1.89K

Will Doug Burgum be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Active

Yes

0.50%

No

99.50%

Market Ticker
KXCABOUT-29-DB
Last Price
1¢ (1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
0¢ / 1¢
No Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
115.3K
Volume (24h)
2.26K

Will Brooke Rollins be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Active

Yes

0.50%

No

99.50%

Market Ticker
KXCABOUT-29-BR
Last Price
1¢ (1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
0¢ / 1¢
No Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
89.2K
Volume (24h)
2.82K

Will Mike Waltz be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Active

Yes

0.50%

No

99.50%

Market Ticker
KXCABOUT-29-MWAL
Last Price
1¢ (1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
0¢ / 1¢
No Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
98.02K
Volume (24h)
1.14K

Will Lee Zeldin be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Active

Yes

0.50%

No

99.50%

Market Ticker
KXCABOUT-29-LZ
Last Price
1¢ (1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
0¢ / 1¢
No Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
83.86K
Volume (24h)
2.64K

Will Scott Turner be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Active

Yes

0.50%

No

99.50%

Market Ticker
KXCABOUT-29-ST
Last Price
1¢ (1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
0¢ / 1¢
No Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
77.83K
Volume (24h)
112

Will Jamieson Greer be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Active

Yes

0.50%

No

99.50%

Market Ticker
KXCABOUT-29-JG
Last Price
1¢ (1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
0¢ / 1¢
No Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
74.43K
Volume (24h)
9.65K

Will John Ratcliffe be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Active

Yes

0.50%

No

99.50%

Market Ticker
KXCABOUT-29-FR
Last Price
1¢ (1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
0¢ / 1¢
No Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
67.29K
Volume (24h)
2.36K

Will Doug Collins be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Active

Yes

0.50%

No

99.50%

Market Ticker
KXCABOUT-29-DC
Last Price
1¢ (1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
0¢ / 1¢
No Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
67.39K
Volume (24h)
2.63K

Will Kelly Loeffler be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Active

Yes

0.50%

No

99.50%

Market Ticker
KXCABOUT-29-KL
Last Price
1¢ (1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
0¢ / 1¢
No Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
62.71K
Volume (24h)
1.79K

Will Russell T. Vought be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Active

Yes

0.50%

No

99.50%

Market Ticker
KXCABOUT-29-RV
Last Price
1¢ (1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
0¢ / 1¢
No Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
54.03K
Volume (24h)
2.36K

Will Michael Kratsios be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Active

Yes

0.50%

No

99.50%

Market Ticker
KXCABOUT-29-MK
Last Price
1¢ (1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
0¢ / 1¢
No Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
45.06K
Volume (24h)
19

Rules

If Mike Waltz is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached), then the market resolves to Yes.