Wil Anthony D’Esposito be the Republican nominee for NY-4?
ActiveYes
35.50%
No
64.50%
- Market Ticker
- KXNY4R-26-ADES
- Last Price
- 32¢ (32.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 31¢ / 40¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 60¢ / 69¢
- Open Interest
- 717
- Volume (24h)
- 0
KalshiActive
Who will be the Republican nominee for NY-04?
- Event Ticker
- KXNY4R-26
- Category
- Elections
- 24h Volume
- 0
- Expiration
- Nov 3, 2026, 3:00 PM
Probability History
Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy
- Wil Don Clavin be the Republican nominee for NY-4?
Latest: 0.00%
Market Overview
Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.
Markets
Wil Patricia Canzoneri-Fitzpatrick be the Republican nominee for NY-4?
ActiveYes
49.00%
No
51.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXNY4R-26-PCAN
- Last Price
- 53¢ (53.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 44¢ / 54¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 46¢ / 56¢
- Open Interest
- 78
- Volume (24h)
- 0
Wil Don Clavin be the Republican nominee for NY-4?
ActiveYes
13.00%
No
87.00%
- Market Ticker
- KXNY4R-26-DCLA
- Last Price
- 0¢ (0.00%)
- Yes Bid / Ask
- 8¢ / 18¢
- No Bid / Ask
- 82¢ / 92¢
- Open Interest
- 0
- Volume (24h)
- 0
Rules
If Patricia Canzoneri-Fitzpatrick wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 NY-4 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.