KalshiActive

Who will leave their club during the winter transfer window?

Event Ticker
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26
Category
Sports
24h Volume
0
Expiration
Feb 12, 2026, 3:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Dec 31Feb 9
  • :: Aston Villa

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

:: Aston Villa

Active

Yes

8.50%

No

91.50%

Market Ticker
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26-MROG
Last Price
20¢ (20.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 17¢
No Bid / Ask
83¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
35
Volume (24h)
0

:: Arsenal

Active

Yes

49.50%

No

50.50%

Market Ticker
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26-GJES
Last Price
20¢ (20.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 99¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
Open Interest
4
Volume (24h)
0

:: Liverpool

Active

Yes

49.50%

No

50.50%

Market Ticker
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26-MSAL
Last Price
50¢ (50.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 99¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
Open Interest
3
Volume (24h)
0

:: Man City

Active

Yes

50.50%

No

49.50%

Market Ticker
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26-SAVI
Last Price
99¢ (99.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 99¢
Open Interest
1
Volume (24h)
0

:: Crystal Palace

Active

Yes

55.00%

No

45.00%

Market Ticker
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26-MGUE
Last Price
98¢ (98.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
10¢ / 100¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 90¢
Open Interest
1
Volume (24h)
0

:: Tottenham

Active

Yes

49.50%

No

50.50%

Market Ticker
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26-YBIS
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 99¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

:: 1. FC Koln

Active

Yes

49.50%

No

50.50%

Market Ticker
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26-SMAL
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 99¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

:: Chelsea

Active

Yes

49.50%

No

50.50%

Market Ticker
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26-RSTE
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 99¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

:: Real Madrid

Active

Yes

49.50%

No

50.50%

Market Ticker
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26-RODR
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 99¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

:: Al-Hilal

Active

Yes

49.50%

No

50.50%

Market Ticker
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26-RNEV
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 99¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

:: Elche CF

Active

Yes

49.50%

No

50.50%

Market Ticker
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26-RMEN
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 99¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

:: Tottenham

Active

Yes

20.00%

No

80.00%

Market Ticker
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26-RICH
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 40¢
No Bid / Ask
60¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

:: Feyenoord

Active

Yes

49.50%

No

50.50%

Market Ticker
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26-QTIM
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 99¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

:: Aston Villa

Active

Yes

17.00%

No

83.00%

Market Ticker
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26-PTOR
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 34¢
No Bid / Ask
66¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

:: Aston Villa

Active

Yes

12.50%

No

87.50%

Market Ticker
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26-OWAT
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 25¢
No Bid / Ask
75¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

:: Dortmund

Active

Yes

49.50%

No

50.50%

Market Ticker
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26-NSCH
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 99¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

:: Como

Active

Yes

49.50%

No

50.50%

Market Ticker
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26-NPAZ
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 99¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

:: AC Milan

Active

Yes

49.50%

No

50.50%

Market Ticker
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26-MMAI
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 99¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

:: Chelsea

Active

Yes

49.50%

No

50.50%

Market Ticker
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26-MGUS
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 99¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

:: Man United

Active

Yes

20.00%

No

80.00%

Market Ticker
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26-KMAI
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 40¢
No Bid / Ask
60¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

:: Man United

Active

Yes

49.50%

No

50.50%

Market Ticker
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26-JZIR
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 99¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

:: Eintracht Frankfurt

Active

Yes

49.50%

No

50.50%

Market Ticker
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26-JBAH
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 99¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

:: Al-Ahli

Active

Yes

49.50%

No

50.50%

Market Ticker
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26-ITON
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 99¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

:: Liverpool

Active

Yes

49.50%

No

50.50%

Market Ticker
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26-IKON
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 99¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

:: PSG

Active

Yes

49.50%

No

50.50%

Market Ticker
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26-GRAM
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 99¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

:: RB Leipzig

Active

Yes

49.50%

No

50.50%

Market Ticker
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26-CLUK
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 99¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

:: Brighton

Active

Yes

49.50%

No

50.50%

Market Ticker
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26-CBAL
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 99¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

:: PSG

Active

Yes

49.50%

No

50.50%

Market Ticker
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26-BBAR
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 99¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

:: Crystal Palace

Active

Yes

49.50%

No

50.50%

Market Ticker
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26-AWHA
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 99¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

:: Fulham

Active

Yes

49.50%

No

50.50%

Market Ticker
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26-ATRA
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 99¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

:: Liverpool

Active

Yes

49.50%

No

50.50%

Market Ticker
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26-AROB
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 99¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

:: Chelsea

Active

Yes

49.50%

No

50.50%

Market Ticker
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26-ADIS
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 99¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

:: Lille

Active

Yes

49.50%

No

50.50%

Market Ticker
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26-ABOU
Last Price
(0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 99¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
Open Interest
0
Volume (24h)
0

:: Bournemouth

Finalized

Yes

50.00%

No

50.00%

Market Ticker
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26-ASEM
Last Price
99¢ (99.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
Open Interest
2.01K
Volume (24h)
0

:: West Ham

Finalized

Yes

50.00%

No

50.00%

Market Ticker
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26-NFUL
Last Price
99¢ (99.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
Open Interest
200
Volume (24h)
0

:: Tottenham

Finalized

Yes

50.00%

No

50.00%

Market Ticker
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26-BJOH
Last Price
99¢ (99.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
Open Interest
7
Volume (24h)
0

Rules

If Yves Bissouma transfers out of Tottenham before Feb 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.