KalshiActive

Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?

Event Ticker
KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN
Category
Politics
24h Volume
0
Expiration
Jan 1, 2027, 3:00 PM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Will Marjorie Taylor Greene leave the Republican party?

Active

Yes

17.00%

No

83.00%

Market Ticker
KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN
Last Price
13¢ (13.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
14¢ / 20¢
No Bid / Ask
80¢ / 86¢
Open Interest
9.02K
Volume (24h)
0

Will Lisa Murkowski leave the Republican?

Active

Yes

14.00%

No

86.00%

Market Ticker
KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN-LMURK
Last Price
12¢ (12.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
11¢ / 17¢
No Bid / Ask
83¢ / 89¢
Open Interest
2.6K
Volume (24h)
0

Will Henry Cuellar leave the Democratic?

Active

Yes

7.50%

No

92.50%

Market Ticker
KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN-CUEL
Last Price
10¢ (10.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 10¢
No Bid / Ask
90¢ / 95¢
Open Interest
3.02K
Volume (24h)
0

Will JFET leave the John Fetterman?

Active

Yes

12.00%

No

88.00%

Market Ticker
KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN-JFET
Last Price
15¢ (15.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
10¢ / 14¢
No Bid / Ask
86¢ / 90¢
Open Interest
4.05K
Volume (24h)
0

Will Don Bacon leave the Republican?

Active

Yes

7.50%

No

92.50%

Market Ticker
KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN-DBAC
Last Price
(8.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
92¢ / 93¢
Open Interest
5.21K
Volume (24h)
0

Will Thomas Massie leave the Republican?

Active

Yes

12.00%

No

88.00%

Market Ticker
KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN-TMAS
Last Price
10¢ (10.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
10¢ / 14¢
No Bid / Ask
86¢ / 90¢
Open Interest
2.26K
Volume (24h)
0

Rules

If Don Bacon leaves or announces that they are leaving the Republican party before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.