KalshiActive

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Name: Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Start: 2026-01-06T22:00:00Z
End: 2027-01-02T15:00:00Z

Event Ticker: KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01
Category: Politics
24h Volume: 265
Expiration: Jan 2, 2027, 3:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

Will Nicolás Maduro receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?
Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Will Nicolás Maduro receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

9.00%

91.00%

Market Ticker: KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-NMAD
Last Price: 12¢ (12.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 7¢ / 11¢
No Bid / Ask: 89¢ / 93¢
Open Interest: 7.66K
Volume (24h): 0

Will Derek Chauvin receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

13.00%

87.00%

Market Ticker: KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-DCHAU
Last Price: 12¢ (12.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 11¢ / 15¢
No Bid / Ask: 85¢ / 89¢
Open Interest: 5.36K
Volume (24h): 8

Will Sam Bankman-Fried receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

12.50%

87.50%

Market Ticker: KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-SBF
Last Price: 17¢ (17.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 11¢ / 14¢
No Bid / Ask: 86¢ / 89¢
Open Interest: 5.17K
Volume (24h): 0

Will Ghislaine Maxwell receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-GMAX
Last Price: 8¢ (8.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 8¢ / 11¢
No Bid / Ask: 89¢ / 92¢
Open Interest: 4.29K
Volume (24h): 0

:: Diddy

Active

Yes

9.00%

91.00%

Market Ticker: KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-SCOM
Last Price: 10¢ (10.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 8¢ / 10¢
No Bid / Ask: 90¢ / 92¢
Open Interest: 2.94K
Volume (24h): 0

:: Boosie BadAzz

Active

Yes

26.50%

73.50%

Market Ticker: KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-THAT
Last Price: 41¢ (41.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 10¢ / 43¢
No Bid / Ask: 57¢ / 90¢
Open Interest: 1.62K
Volume (24h): 0

:: Himself

Active

Yes

8.50%

91.50%

Market Ticker: KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-DJT
Last Price: 11¢ (11.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 6¢ / 11¢
No Bid / Ask: 89¢ / 94¢
Open Interest: 1.84K
Volume (24h): 0

Will Martin Shkreli receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

18.00%

82.00%

Market Ticker: KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-MSH
Last Price: 18¢ (18.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 12¢ / 24¢
No Bid / Ask: 76¢ / 88¢
Open Interest: 1.25K
Volume (24h): 265

Will Keonne Rodriguez receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

33.00%

67.00%

Market Ticker: KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-KROD
Last Price: 25¢ (25.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 26¢ / 40¢
No Bid / Ask: 60¢ / 74¢
Open Interest: 471
Volume (24h): 0

Will Eric Adams receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

8.00%

92.00%

Market Ticker: KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-EADA
Last Price: 11¢ (11.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 5¢ / 11¢
No Bid / Ask: 89¢ / 95¢
Open Interest: 632
Volume (24h): 0

Will Edward Snowden receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

10.50%

89.50%

Market Ticker: KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-ESNO
Last Price: 8¢ (8.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 8¢ / 13¢
No Bid / Ask: 87¢ / 92¢
Open Interest: 472
Volume (24h): 0

Will Steve Bannon receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

54.50%

45.50%

Market Ticker: KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-SBAN
Last Price: 19¢ (19.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 10¢ / 99¢
No Bid / Ask: 1¢ / 90¢
Open Interest: 288
Volume (24h): 0

Will Kenneth Petty receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

38.50%

61.50%

Market Ticker: KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-KPET
Last Price: 15¢ (15.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 3¢ / 74¢
No Bid / Ask: 26¢ / 97¢
Open Interest: 250
Volume (24h): 250

Will Bob Menendez receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

8.50%

91.50%

Market Ticker: KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-BMEN
Last Price: 8¢ (8.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 7¢ / 10¢
No Bid / Ask: 90¢ / 93¢
Open Interest: 243
Volume (24h): 0

Will Jared Kushner receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

5.50%

94.50%

Market Ticker: KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-JKUS
Last Price: 1¢ (1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 1¢ / 10¢
No Bid / Ask: 90¢ / 99¢
Open Interest: 125
Volume (24h): 0

Will Roger Ver receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

15.00%

85.00%

Market Ticker: KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-RVER
Last Price: 19¢ (19.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 11¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 89¢
Open Interest: 91
Volume (24h): 0

Will Julian Assange receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

9.00%

91.00%

Market Ticker: KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-JASS
Last Price: 12¢ (12.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 6¢ / 12¢
No Bid / Ask: 88¢ / 94¢
Open Interest: 26
Volume (24h): 0

Will Robin Smith receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

50.00%

Market Ticker: KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-RSMI
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 1¢ / 99¢
No Bid / Ask: 1¢ / 99¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

Will Matt Borges receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

50.00%

Market Ticker: KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-MBOR
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 1¢ / 99¢
No Bid / Ask: 1¢ / 99¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

Will Larry Householder receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

50.00%

Market Ticker: KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-LHOU
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 1¢ / 99¢
No Bid / Ask: 1¢ / 99¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

:: Joe Exotic

Active

Yes

5.00%

95.00%

Market Ticker: KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-JMAL
Last Price: 0¢ (0.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 1¢ / 9¢
No Bid / Ask: 91¢ / 99¢
Open Interest: 0
Volume (24h): 0

Rules

If Martin Shkreli has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.