KalshiActive

Who will win over 18% of the vote in the 1st round of the Portuguese presidential election?

Name: Who will win over 18% of the vote in the 1st round of the Portuguese presidential election?
Start: 2026-01-09T15:00:00Z
End: 2027-01-18T15:00:00Z

Event Ticker: KXPORTUGALPRESROUND1-26JAN18
Category: Elections
24h Volume: 0
Expiration: Jan 18, 2027, 3:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

:: PSD
Latest: 0.00%
:: CH
Latest: 0.00%
:: IL
Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

:: PSD

Active

Yes

0.50%

99.50%

Market Ticker: KXPORTUGALPRESROUND1-26JAN18-LMEN
Last Price: 1¢ (1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 1¢
No Bid / Ask: 99¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 4.56K
Volume (24h): 0

:: CH

Active

Yes

97.50%

2.50%

Market Ticker: KXPORTUGALPRESROUND1-26JAN18-AVEN
Last Price: 96¢ (96.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 97¢ / 98¢
No Bid / Ask: 2¢ / 3¢
Open Interest: 1.34K
Volume (24h): 40

:: IL

Active

Yes

1.50%

98.50%

Market Ticker: KXPORTUGALPRESROUND1-26JAN18-JFIG
Last Price: 1¢ (1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 3¢
No Bid / Ask: 97¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 1.86K
Volume (24h): 46

:: PS

Active

Yes

97.50%

2.50%

Market Ticker: KXPORTUGALPRESROUND1-26JAN18-ASEG
Last Price: 98¢ (98.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 95¢ / 100¢
No Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 5¢
Open Interest: 500
Volume (24h): 297

:: IND

Active

Yes

0.50%

99.50%

Market Ticker: KXPORTUGALPRESROUND1-26JAN18-HMEL
Last Price: 1¢ (1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 1¢
No Bid / Ask: 99¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 1.35K
Volume (24h): 0

Rules

If Luís Marques Mendes receives above 18% of the vote in first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.