KalshiActive

Who will win the World Chess Championship?

Event Ticker
KXCHESSWORLDCHAMPION-CHESS26
Category
Sports
24h Volume
0
Expiration
Dec 30, 2028, 3:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Aug 19Jan 27
  • Will the Magnus Carlsen win the World Chess Championship?

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Will the Magnus Carlsen win the World Chess Championship?

Active

Yes

1.00%

No

99.00%

Market Ticker
KXCHESSWORLDCHAMPION-CHESS26-MCAR
Last Price
(1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
98¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
48.43K
Volume (24h)
11

Will the Hikaru Nakamura win the World Chess Championship?

Active

Yes

21.00%

No

79.00%

Market Ticker
KXCHESSWORLDCHAMPION-CHESS26-HNAK
Last Price
22¢ (22.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
20¢ / 22¢
No Bid / Ask
78¢ / 80¢
Open Interest
15.6K
Volume (24h)
449

Will the Gukesh Dommaraju win the World Chess Championship?

Active

Yes

42.50%

No

57.50%

Market Ticker
KXCHESSWORLDCHAMPION-CHESS26-GDOM
Last Price
45¢ (45.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
41¢ / 44¢
No Bid / Ask
56¢ / 59¢
Open Interest
7.88K
Volume (24h)
0

Will the Fabiano Caruana win the World Chess Championship?

Active

Yes

21.00%

No

79.00%

Market Ticker
KXCHESSWORLDCHAMPION-CHESS26-FCAR
Last Price
23¢ (23.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
19¢ / 23¢
No Bid / Ask
77¢ / 81¢
Open Interest
5.42K
Volume (24h)
224

Will the Ding Liren win the World Chess Championship?

Active

Yes

0.50%

No

99.50%

Market Ticker
KXCHESSWORLDCHAMPION-CHESS26-DLIR
Last Price
(1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
7.31K
Volume (24h)
1

Will the Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa win the World Chess Championship?

Active

Yes

10.00%

No

90.00%

Market Ticker
KXCHESSWORLDCHAMPION-CHESS26-RPRA
Last Price
13¢ (13.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 13¢
No Bid / Ask
87¢ / 93¢
Open Interest
3.54K
Volume (24h)
12

Will Wei Yi win the World Chess Championship?

Active

Yes

4.50%

No

95.50%

Market Ticker
KXCHESSWORLDCHAMPION-CHESS26-WEYI
Last Price
(4.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
94¢ / 97¢
Open Interest
4.15K
Volume (24h)
0

Will the Ian Nepomniachtchi win the World Chess Championship?

Active

Yes

0.50%

No

99.50%

Market Ticker
KXCHESSWORLDCHAMPION-CHESS26-INEP
Last Price
(1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
3.13K
Volume (24h)
1

Will Matthias Bluebaum win the World Chess Championship?

Active

Yes

1.50%

No

98.50%

Market Ticker
KXCHESSWORLDCHAMPION-CHESS26-MBLU
Last Price
(1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
98¢ / 99¢
Open Interest
3.38K
Volume (24h)
0

Will Anish Giri win the World Chess Championship?

Active

Yes

5.00%

No

95.00%

Market Ticker
KXCHESSWORLDCHAMPION-CHESS26-AGIR
Last Price
(6.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
94¢ / 96¢
Open Interest
2.87K
Volume (24h)
78

Will the Alireza Firouzja win the World Chess Championship?

Active

Yes

0.50%

No

99.50%

Market Ticker
KXCHESSWORLDCHAMPION-CHESS26-AFIR
Last Price
(1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
736
Volume (24h)
1

Will the Nijat Abasov win the World Chess Championship?

Active

Yes

0.50%

No

99.50%

Market Ticker
KXCHESSWORLDCHAMPION-CHESS26-NABA
Last Price
(1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
693
Volume (24h)
1

Rules

If Matthias Bluebaum wins the World Chess Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.