KalshiActive

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

Name: Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
Start: 2025-11-09T15:00:00Z
End: 2027-04-01T15:00:00Z

Event Ticker: KXGTEMP-26
Category: Climate and Weather
24h Volume: 1.46K
Expiration: Apr 1, 2027, 3:00 PM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Active

Yes

22.50%

77.50%

Market Ticker: KXGTEMP-26-P0
Last Price: 22¢ (22.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 22¢ / 23¢
No Bid / Ask: 77¢ / 78¢
Open Interest: 7.47K
Volume (24h): 1.46K

Rules

If the unsmoothed Land-Ocean Temperature Index value for 2026 reported by NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) is above the 2025 value and 1.28 degrees Celsius, then the market resolves to Yes.