KalshiActive

Will a candidate win outright in the Texas Democratic Senate primary?

Name: Will a candidate win outright in the Texas Democratic Senate primary?
Start: 2025-12-08T15:00:00Z
End: 2027-03-03T15:00:00Z

Event Ticker: KXTEXASDEM1ROUND-26MAR03
Category: Elections
24h Volume: 105
Expiration: Mar 3, 2027, 3:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

Will anyone win 2026 Texas Democratic Senate primary in the first round?
Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Will anyone win 2026 Texas Democratic Senate primary in the first round?

Active

Yes

89.50%

10.50%

Market Ticker: KXTEXASDEM1ROUND-26MAR03
Last Price: 88¢ (88.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 85¢ / 94¢
No Bid / Ask: 6¢ / 15¢
Open Interest: 850
Volume (24h): 105

Rules

If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes (>50%) to be declared the winner after the first round of voting in the 2026 Texas Democratic Senate primary, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.