KalshiActive

Will a candidate win outright in the Texas Republican Senate primary?

Event Ticker
KXTEXASGOP1ROUND-26MAR03
Category
Elections
24h Volume
20
Expiration
Mar 3, 2027, 3:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Oct 14Mar 6
  • Will anyone win 2026 Texas Republican Senate primary in the first round?

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Will anyone win 2026 Texas Republican Senate primary in the first round?

Active

Yes

19.00%

No

81.00%

Market Ticker
KXTEXASGOP1ROUND-26MAR03
Last Price
23¢ (23.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
15¢ / 23¢
No Bid / Ask
77¢ / 85¢
Open Interest
714
Volume (24h)
20

Rules

If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes to be declared the winner after the first round of voting in 2026 Texas Republican Senate primary, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.