KalshiActive

Will a court order a tariff refund?

Event Ticker
KXTARIFFREFUND-25
Category
Politics
24h Volume
272
Expiration
Jan 8, 2027, 3:00 PM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Will a court order the Trump Administration to give tariff refunds this year?

Active

Yes

31.50%

No

68.50%

Market Ticker
KXTARIFFREFUND-25-26JUN30
Last Price
34¢ (34.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
29¢ / 34¢
No Bid / Ask
66¢ / 71¢
Open Interest
13.54K
Volume (24h)
273

Will a court order the Trump Administration to give tariff refunds this year?

Active

Yes

42.00%

No

58.00%

Market Ticker
KXTARIFFREFUND-25-26DEC
Last Price
43¢ (43.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
41¢ / 43¢
No Bid / Ask
57¢ / 59¢
Open Interest
6.79K
Volume (24h)
272

Will a court order the Trump Administration to give tariff refunds this year?

Finalized

Yes

50.00%

No

50.00%

Market Ticker
KXTARIFFREFUND-25-DEC31
Last Price
1¢ (1.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
0¢ / 100¢
No Bid / Ask
0¢ / 100¢
Open Interest
44.69K
Volume (24h)
0

Rules

If a court orders the Trump Administration to refund tariffs collected on or after January 20, 2025, before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.