KalshiActive

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin by 2027?

Event Ticker
KXSATOSHIBTCYEAR-27
Category
Crypto
24h Volume
882
Expiration
Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Oct 18Mar 16
  • Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin by 2027?

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin by 2027?

Active

Yes

8.50%

No

91.50%

Market Ticker
KXSATOSHIBTCYEAR-27
Last Price
11¢ (11.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
91¢ / 92¢
Open Interest
30.43K
Volume (24h)
882

Rules

If any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET, the market resolves to Yes.