KalshiActive

Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?

Event Ticker
KXRECOGPERSONIRAN-26
Category
Politics
24h Volume
655
Expiration
Jan 8, 2027, 3:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Jan 8Mar 15
  • Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?

Active

Yes

29.50%

No

70.50%

Market Ticker
KXRECOGPERSONIRAN-26
Last Price
29¢ (29.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
29¢ / 30¢
No Bid / Ask
70¢ / 71¢
Open Interest
64.88K
Volume (24h)
655

Rules

If the United States recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.