KalshiActive

Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?

Name: Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
Start: 2025-06-05T16:45:00Z
End: 2050-01-08T15:00:00Z

Event Ticker: KXWARMING-50
Category: Climate and Weather
24h Volume: 0
Expiration: Jan 8, 2050, 3:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?

Active

Yes

79.00%

21.00%

Market Ticker: KXWARMING-50
Last Price: 81¢ (81.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 77¢ / 81¢
No Bid / Ask: 19¢ / 23¢
Open Interest: 3.98K
Volume (24h): 0

Rules

If the annual global mean surface temperature anomaly has reached or exceeded +2.0°C above pre-industrial levels (1850-1900 average) in any calendar year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.