KalshiActive

Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?

Event Ticker
KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-28
Category
Climate and Weather
24h Volume
0
Expiration
Jan 7, 2029, 3:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Aug 19Mar 15
  • Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?

Active

Yes

10.50%

No

89.50%

Market Ticker
KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-28
Last Price
15¢ (15.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
4¢ / 17¢
No Bid / Ask
83¢ / 96¢
Open Interest
4.63K
Volume (24h)
0

Rules

If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.