KalshiActive

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?

Event Ticker
KXINSURRECTION-29
Category
Politics
24h Volume
26.72K
Expiration
Feb 1, 2026, 3:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Jan 17Feb 1
  • Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his Presidency?

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his Presidency?

Active

Yes

26.00%

No

74.00%

Market Ticker
KXINSURRECTION-29-26MAR
Last Price
24¢ (24.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
24¢ / 28¢
No Bid / Ask
72¢ / 76¢
Open Interest
78.78K
Volume (24h)
12.77K

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his Presidency?

Active

Yes

69.50%

No

30.50%

Market Ticker
KXINSURRECTION-29
Last Price
74¢ (74.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
68¢ / 71¢
No Bid / Ask
29¢ / 32¢
Open Interest
39.07K
Volume (24h)
3.36K

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his Presidency?

Active

Yes

8.50%

No

91.50%

Market Ticker
KXINSURRECTION-29-FEB26
Last Price
10¢ (10.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
91¢ / 92¢
Open Interest
55.59K
Volume (24h)
26.72K

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his Presidency?

Active

Yes

52.50%

No

47.50%

Market Ticker
KXINSURRECTION-29-27
Last Price
53¢ (53.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
51¢ / 54¢
No Bid / Ask
46¢ / 49¢
Open Interest
56.92K
Volume (24h)
11.12K

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his Presidency?

Finalized

Yes

50.00%

No

50.00%

Market Ticker
KXINSURRECTION-29-JAN19
Last Price
(2.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
Open Interest
70.96K
Volume (24h)
0

Rules

If the President of the United States has invoked the Insurrection Act to deploy the United States military and/or the federalized National Guard within the United States before Feb 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.