KalshiActive

Will Trump recognize Somaliland?

Event Ticker
KXRECOGSOMALI-29
Category
Politics
24h Volume
197
Expiration
Jan 1, 2027, 3:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Aug 19Mar 15
  • :: During Trump's term

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

:: During Trump's term

Active

Yes

76.00%

No

24.00%

Market Ticker
KXRECOGSOMALI-29
Last Price
77¢ (77.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
74¢ / 78¢
No Bid / Ask
22¢ / 26¢
Open Interest
4.51K
Volume (24h)
0

Will Trump recognize Somaliland?

Active

Yes

33.50%

No

66.50%

Market Ticker
KXRECOGSOMALI-29-27
Last Price
30¢ (30.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
30¢ / 37¢
No Bid / Ask
63¢ / 70¢
Open Interest
552
Volume (24h)
197

Rules

If the United States explicitly and formally recognizes Somaliland as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.