KalshiActive

Will Trump run for a third term?

Event Ticker
KXTRUMPRUN
Category
Politics
24h Volume
627
Expiration
Nov 7, 2028, 3:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

0%25%50%75%100%Oct 25Mar 15
  • :: Nov 7, 2028

    Latest: 0.00%

  • Will Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2028?

    Latest: 0.00%

  • Will Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2027?

    Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

:: Nov 7, 2028

Active

Yes

24.00%

No

76.00%

Market Ticker
KXTRUMPRUN-28NOV07
Last Price
26¢ (26.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
22¢ / 26¢
No Bid / Ask
74¢ / 78¢
Open Interest
14.8K
Volume (24h)
627

Will Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2028?

Active

Yes

18.50%

No

81.50%

Market Ticker
KXTRUMPRUN-28JAN01
Last Price
18¢ (18.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
16¢ / 21¢
No Bid / Ask
79¢ / 84¢
Open Interest
7.76K
Volume (24h)
33

Will Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2027?

Active

Yes

7.00%

No

93.00%

Market Ticker
KXTRUMPRUN-27JAN01
Last Price
(6.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/
No Bid / Ask
92¢ / 94¢
Open Interest
2.78K
Volume (24h)
26

Will Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2026?

Finalized

Yes

50.00%

No

50.00%

Market Ticker
KXTRUMPRUN-26JAN01
Last Price
(2.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
No Bid / Ask
/ 100¢
Open Interest
287
Volume (24h)
0

Rules

If Donald Trump has announced that they will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Nov 7, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.