KalshiActive

World leaders out before 2027?

Name: World leaders out before 2027?
Start: 2026-01-04T22:00:00Z
End: 2027-01-08T15:00:00Z

Event Ticker: KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01
Category: Politics
24h Volume: 202
Expiration: Jan 8, 2027, 3:00 PM

Probability History

Source: Kalshi candlesticks via OrangeRock proxy

:: First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba
Latest: 0.00%

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. History is derived from Kalshi candlestick data per market ticker, aligned to a 60-minute interval.

Markets

:: Supreme Leader of Iran

Active

Yes

57.00%

43.00%

Market Ticker: KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-AKHAIRA
Last Price: 57¢ (57.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 56¢ / 58¢
No Bid / Ask: 42¢ / 44¢
Open Interest: 1.07M
Volume (24h): 54.27K

:: First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba

Active

Yes

47.50%

52.50%

Market Ticker: KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-MDIACPC
Last Price: 48¢ (48.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 47¢ / 48¢
No Bid / Ask: 52¢ / 53¢
Open Interest: 92.33K
Volume (24h): 3.12K

:: General Secretary of the Communist Party of China

Active

Yes

13.50%

86.50%

Market Ticker: KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-XJINCHI
Last Price: 13¢ (13.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 13¢ / 14¢
No Bid / Ask: 86¢ / 87¢
Open Interest: 87.05K
Volume (24h): 7.93K

:: President of Russia

Active

Yes

12.50%

87.50%

Market Ticker: KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-VPUTRUS
Last Price: 13¢ (13.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 12¢ / 13¢
No Bid / Ask: 87¢ / 88¢
Open Interest: 56.62K
Volume (24h): 7.29K

:: President of Colombia

Active

Yes

93.50%

6.50%

Market Ticker: KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-GPETCOL
Last Price: 94¢ (94.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 93¢ / 94¢
No Bid / Ask: 6¢ / 7¢
Open Interest: 37.69K
Volume (24h): 343

:: Prime Minister of the United Kingdom

Active

Yes

47.00%

53.00%

Market Ticker: KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-KSTAUK
Last Price: 49¢ (49.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 46¢ / 48¢
No Bid / Ask: 52¢ / 54¢
Open Interest: 36.5K
Volume (24h): 6.16K

:: Prime Minister of Israel

Active

Yes

42.50%

57.50%

Market Ticker: KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-BNETISR
Last Price: 44¢ (44.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 42¢ / 43¢
No Bid / Ask: 57¢ / 58¢
Open Interest: 33.78K
Volume (24h): 98

:: President of Mexico

Active

Yes

13.00%

87.00%

Market Ticker: KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-CSHEPMEX
Last Price: 11¢ (11.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 12¢ / 14¢
No Bid / Ask: 86¢ / 88¢
Open Interest: 25.46K
Volume (24h): 1.35K

:: President of Ukraine

Active

Yes

31.50%

68.50%

Market Ticker: KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-VZELUKR
Last Price: 32¢ (32.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 31¢ / 32¢
No Bid / Ask: 68¢ / 69¢
Open Interest: 22.13K
Volume (24h): 106

:: Prime Minister of Japan

Active

Yes

17.00%

83.00%

Market Ticker: KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-STAKJAP
Last Price: 15¢ (15.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 15¢ / 19¢
No Bid / Ask: 81¢ / 85¢
Open Interest: 12.62K
Volume (24h): 22

:: President of Brazil

Active

Yes

11.50%

88.50%

Market Ticker: KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-LSILBRA
Last Price: 12¢ (12.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 10¢ / 13¢
No Bid / Ask: 87¢ / 90¢
Open Interest: 10.64K
Volume (24h): 0

:: President of France

Active

Yes

15.50%

84.50%

Market Ticker: KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-EMACFRA
Last Price: 16¢ (16.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 15¢ / 16¢
No Bid / Ask: 84¢ / 85¢
Open Interest: 11.26K
Volume (24h): 1.22K

:: President of Syria

Active

Yes

19.00%

81.00%

Market Ticker: KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-AALSSYR
Last Price: 18¢ (18.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 18¢ / 20¢
No Bid / Ask: 80¢ / 82¢
Open Interest: 7.88K
Volume (24h): 57

:: President of Peru

Active

Yes

92.50%

7.50%

Market Ticker: KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-JJERPERU
Last Price: 93¢ (93.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 92¢ / 93¢
No Bid / Ask: 7¢ / 8¢
Open Interest: 8.48K
Volume (24h): 10

:: Prime Minister of Hungary

Active

Yes

45.50%

54.50%

Market Ticker: KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-VORBHUN
Last Price: 44¢ (44.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 44¢ / 47¢
No Bid / Ask: 53¢ / 56¢
Open Interest: 5.67K
Volume (24h): 20

:: Prime Minister of Spain

Active

Yes

30.50%

69.50%

Market Ticker: KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-PSANPM
Last Price: 31¢ (31.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 30¢ / 31¢
No Bid / Ask: 69¢ / 70¢
Open Interest: 4.93K
Volume (24h): 30

:: Prime Minister of Greenland

Active

Yes

19.50%

80.50%

Market Ticker: KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-JFNPMG
Last Price: 17¢ (17.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 17¢ / 22¢
No Bid / Ask: 78¢ / 83¢
Open Interest: 3.76K
Volume (24h): 115

:: Prime Minister of Canada

Active

Yes

9.00%

91.00%

Market Ticker: KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-MCARCAN
Last Price: 8¢ (8.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 8¢ / 10¢
No Bid / Ask: 90¢ / 92¢
Open Interest: 3.88K
Volume (24h): 71

:: Supreme Leader of North Korea

Active

Yes

8.50%

91.50%

Market Ticker: KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-KJONDPRK
Last Price: 7¢ (7.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 7¢ / 10¢
No Bid / Ask: 90¢ / 93¢
Open Interest: 3.29K
Volume (24h): 10

:: President of South Africa

Active

Yes

14.50%

85.50%

Market Ticker: KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-CRAMSAFR
Last Price: 17¢ (17.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 11¢ / 18¢
No Bid / Ask: 82¢ / 89¢
Open Interest: 2.37K
Volume (24h): 44

:: Chancellor of Germany

Active

Yes

11.50%

88.50%

Market Ticker: KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-FMERCGER
Last Price: 13¢ (13.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 10¢ / 13¢
No Bid / Ask: 87¢ / 90¢
Open Interest: 1.4K
Volume (24h): 0

:: Prime Minister of Denmark

Active

Yes

23.00%

77.00%

Market Ticker: KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-MFREPMD
Last Price: 26¢ (26.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 20¢ / 26¢
No Bid / Ask: 74¢ / 80¢
Open Interest: 2.05K
Volume (24h): 202

:: Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia

Active

Yes

5.50%

94.50%

Market Ticker: KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-MBSSARA
Last Price: 7¢ (7.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 4¢ / 7¢
No Bid / Ask: 93¢ / 96¢
Open Interest: 1.29K
Volume (24h): 0

:: President of Türkiye

Active

Yes

13.00%

87.00%

Market Ticker: KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-RERDTUR
Last Price: 11¢ (11.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 11¢ / 15¢
No Bid / Ask: 85¢ / 89¢
Open Interest: 1.48K
Volume (24h): 11

:: President of El Salvador

Active

Yes

4.50%

95.50%

Market Ticker: KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-NBUKELSA
Last Price: 8¢ (8.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 1¢ / 8¢
No Bid / Ask: 92¢ / 99¢
Open Interest: 1.59K
Volume (24h): 0

:: Prime Minister of New Zealand

Active

Yes

37.00%

63.00%

Market Ticker: KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-PLUXPMNZ
Last Price: 39¢ (39.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 35¢ / 39¢
No Bid / Ask: 61¢ / 65¢
Open Interest: 385
Volume (24h): 100

:: Prime Minister of India

Active

Yes

8.00%

92.00%

Market Ticker: KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-NMODIND
Last Price: 7¢ (7.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 7¢ / 9¢
No Bid / Ask: 91¢ / 93¢
Open Interest: 845
Volume (24h): 10

:: President of Serbia

Active

Yes

14.50%

85.50%

Market Ticker: KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-AVUCPSER
Last Price: 18¢ (18.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 11¢ / 18¢
No Bid / Ask: 82¢ / 89¢
Open Interest: 1.31K
Volume (24h): 0

:: President of South Korea

Active

Yes

8.00%

92.00%

Market Ticker: KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-LJMKOR
Last Price: 11¢ (11.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 5¢ / 11¢
No Bid / Ask: 89¢ / 95¢
Open Interest: 1.09K
Volume (24h): 0

:: President of Argentina

Active

Yes

7.50%

92.50%

Market Ticker: KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-JMILARG
Last Price: 12¢ (12.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 4¢ / 11¢
No Bid / Ask: 89¢ / 96¢
Open Interest: 1.02K
Volume (24h): 0

:: Prime Minister of Italy

Active

Yes

12.00%

88.00%

Market Ticker: KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-GMELITA
Last Price: 14¢ (14.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 10¢ / 14¢
No Bid / Ask: 86¢ / 90¢
Open Interest: 526
Volume (24h): 0

:: President of Bolivia

Active

Yes

11.00%

89.00%

Market Ticker: KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-RPERBOL
Last Price: 9¢ (9.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 8¢ / 14¢
No Bid / Ask: 86¢ / 92¢
Open Interest: 771
Volume (24h): 75

:: President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo

Active

Yes

15.00%

85.00%

Market Ticker: KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-FTSHPDRC
Last Price: 18¢ (18.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 12¢ / 18¢
No Bid / Ask: 82¢ / 88¢
Open Interest: 223
Volume (24h): 0

:: President of the Republic of the Congo

Active

Yes

11.50%

88.50%

Market Ticker: KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-TRUEPDRC
Last Price: 12¢ (12.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 10¢ / 13¢
No Bid / Ask: 87¢ / 90¢
Open Interest: 109
Volume (24h): 0

:: King of Denmark

Active

Yes

5.00%

95.00%

Market Ticker: KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-FXKD
Last Price: 8¢ (8.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 2¢ / 8¢
No Bid / Ask: 92¢ / 98¢
Open Interest: 130
Volume (24h): 0

:: President of Guyana

Active

Yes

9.50%

90.50%

Market Ticker: KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-IALIPGUY
Last Price: 14¢ (14.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 5¢ / 14¢
No Bid / Ask: 86¢ / 95¢
Open Interest: 86
Volume (24h): 0

:: President of Ecuador

Active

Yes

12.50%

87.50%

Market Ticker: KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-DNOBECUA
Last Price: 13¢ (13.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 9¢ / 16¢
No Bid / Ask: 84¢ / 91¢
Open Interest: 62
Volume (24h): 0

:: President of Venezuela

Finalized

Yes

50.00%

Market Ticker: KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-NMADVEN
Last Price: 99¢ (99.00%)
Yes Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 100¢
No Bid / Ask: 0¢ / 100¢
Open Interest: 91.12K
Volume (24h): 0

Rules

If Mette Frederiksen has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Denmark or has actually left Prime Minister of Denmark before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.