PolymarketActive

Avatar 4 greenlit by March 31?

Ticker
avatar-4-greenlit-by-march-31
Liquidity
$816.50
24h Volume
$33.83
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

Avatar 4 greenlit by March 31?

Active

Yes

47.00%

No

53.00%

Market ID
955052
Volume
$12,380
Liquidity
$816.50
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fourth installment in James Cameron's Avatar series is explicitly announced to be in production or preparing to enter production by March 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the film must be explicitly acknowledged by James Cameron, Lightstorm Entertainment, its distributor/studio (e.g., 20th Century Studios), or that distributor/studio's parent company (e.g., Disney) to be a sequel to "Avatar: Fire and Ash", and have a similar sequential relationship to the one between "Avatar: The Way of Water" and "Avatar: Fire and Ash". An announcement of a new qualifying film before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced film becomes available to the public. The resolution source for this market will be official information from James Cameron, Lightstorm Entertainment, a qualifying film's distributor (e.g., 20th Century Studios) or parent company (e.g., Disney), or a consensus of credible sources.

Event Stats

Event ID
107559
Start Date
Dec 17, 2025, 8:53 PM
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
1
Total Volume
12.38K
Liquidity
816.5
Last Updated
Mar 16, 2026, 2:31 AM