PolymarketActive

Bank of Japan decision in January?

Ticker
bank-of-japan-decision-in-december-425
Liquidity
$333,430
24h Volume
$416,043
End Date
Jan 23, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

Decrease rates

Active

Yes

0.20%

No

99.80%

Market ID
669998
Volume
$920,565
Liquidity
$48,450
End Date
Jan 23, 2026, 12:00 AM

No change

Active

Yes

98.95%

No

1.05%

Market ID
669999
Volume
$749,847
Liquidity
$42,531
End Date
Jan 23, 2026, 12:00 AM

50+ bps increase

Active

Yes

0.15%

No

99.85%

Market ID
670001
Volume
$732,993
Liquidity
$233,355
End Date
Jan 23, 2026, 12:00 AM

25 bps increase

Active

Yes

0.65%

No

99.35%

Market ID
670000
Volume
$566,572
Liquidity
$9,094
End Date
Jan 23, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for January is scheduled to be released on January 23, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's January 2026 meeting. If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Event Stats

Event ID
75575
Start Date
Nov 7, 2025, 9:24 PM
End Date
Jan 23, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
4
Total Volume
2.97M
Liquidity
333.43K
Last Updated
Jan 23, 2026, 6:31 AM