Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?

Market Overview

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Event Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if authentic helmet/body-cam video footage recorded after January 2 that shows U.S. forces physically capturing (taking into custody) President Nicolás Maduro in Venezuela is made widely available to the public by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" if such capture footage becomes widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or published by media. Qualifying footage must be at least 5 seconds in length and depict the moment Maduro is physically apprehended or restrained (or immediately thereafter while still at/within the capture location in Venezuela) in a way that makes it clear from the video that the operation is effecting his capture. Footage of Maduro already in custody outside Venezuela (e.g., aboard a ship/aircraft, at an airport, or at a U.S. facility) will not count unless it also includes the initial apprehension in Venezuela. Still images alone will not count. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Event Stats

Event ID

144075

Start Date

Jan 5, 2026, 1:56 AM

End Date

Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Total Markets

1

Total Volume

125.07K

Liquidity

13.09K

Last Updated

Feb 1, 2026, 7:31 AM