PolymarketActive

Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score by December 31?

Ticker
chatbot-arena-how-high-will-ai-score-by-december-31
Liquidity
$11,871
24h Volume
$56.00
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

↑ 1550

Active

Yes

45.50%

No

54.50%

Market ID
1087074
Volume
$7,058
Liquidity
$3,592
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

↑ 1600

Active

Yes

26.50%

No

73.50%

Market ID
1087075
Volume
$3,498
Liquidity
$3,149
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

↑ 1500

Active

Yes

96.35%

No

3.65%

Market ID
1087073
Volume
$3,302
Liquidity
$5,130
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

Event Stats

Event ID
138745
Start Date
Jan 2, 2026, 6:31 PM
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
3
Total Volume
13.86K
Liquidity
11.87K
Last Updated
Mar 15, 2026, 11:46 PM