Congress authorizes military force against Venezuela by January 31?

Market Overview

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Event Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States enacts an Authorization for Use of Military Force (AUMF) specifically targeting Venezuela by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, both chambers of Congress must pass, and the President (currently Donald Trump) must sign into law, a bill that explicitly authorizes the use of U.S. military force against Venezuela. The authorization does not need to use the exact phrase “Authorization for Use of Military Force,” but it must clearly and specifically authorize military action against Venezuela as a state actor. General defense appropriations, intelligence findings, covert action approvals, or broader regional authorizations that do not explicitly pertain to Venezuela will not qualify. Presidential orders or military action without such a law being passed and signed will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official U.S. government records (e.g., Congress.gov, White House releases); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Event Stats

Event ID

140815

Start Date

Jan 3, 2026, 2:00 PM

End Date

Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Total Markets

1

Total Volume

63.07K

Liquidity

33.03K

Last Updated

Feb 1, 2026, 8:16 AM