PolymarketActive

ECB Interest Rates: February 2026

Ticker
ecb-interest-rates-february-2026
Liquidity
$63,036
24h Volume
$6,034
End Date
Feb 5, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

No change

Active

Yes

97.55%

No

2.45%

Market ID
678118
Volume
$107,386
Liquidity
$21,412
End Date
Feb 5, 2026, 12:00 AM

50+ bps decrease

Active

Yes

0.75%

No

99.25%

Market ID
678116
Volume
$79,107
Liquidity
$7,280
End Date
Feb 5, 2026, 12:00 AM

25 bps decrease

Active

Yes

1.15%

No

98.85%

Market ID
678117
Volume
$70,183
Liquidity
$17,609
End Date
Feb 5, 2026, 12:00 AM

Increase

Active

Yes

0.70%

No

99.30%

Market ID
678119
Volume
$57,020
Liquidity
$16,734
End Date
Feb 5, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) February 2026 meeting. If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution. The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its February 5, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the February 5, 2026, meeting. If no interest rate decision or update is published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.

Event Stats

Event ID
79654
Start Date
Nov 12, 2025, 9:12 PM
End Date
Feb 5, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
4
Total Volume
313.7K
Liquidity
63.04K
Last Updated
Feb 5, 2026, 4:31 PM