PolymarketActive

ECB Interest Rates: March 2026

Ticker
ecb-interest-rates-march-2026
Liquidity
$7,819
24h Volume
$212.77
End Date
Mar 19, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

No change

Active

Yes

93.50%

No

6.50%

Market ID
964477
Volume
$4,180
Liquidity
$1,489
End Date
Mar 19, 2026, 12:00 AM

50+ bps decrease

Active

Yes

1.20%

No

98.80%

Market ID
964475
Volume
$3,886
Liquidity
$2,267
End Date
Mar 19, 2026, 12:00 AM

25 bps decrease

Active

Yes

5.50%

No

94.50%

Market ID
964476
Volume
$3,019
Liquidity
$1,727
End Date
Mar 19, 2026, 12:00 AM

Increase

Active

Yes

0.40%

No

99.60%

Market ID
964478
Volume
$1,849
Liquidity
$2,337
End Date
Mar 19, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) March 2026 meeting. If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution. The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its March 19, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the March 19, 2026 meeting. If no interest rate decision or update is published by March 31, 20256, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.

Event Stats

Event ID
110022
Start Date
Dec 18, 2025, 9:10 PM
End Date
Mar 19, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
4
Total Volume
12.93K
Liquidity
7.82K
Last Updated
Mar 16, 2026, 1:01 AM