280-299
ActiveYes
0.05%
No
99.95%
- Market ID
- 1172384
- Volume
- $589,581
- Liquidity
- $70,461
- End Date
- Jan 23, 2026, 5:00 PM
Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.
Yes
0.05%
No
99.95%
Yes
0.05%
No
99.95%
Yes
0.05%
No
99.95%
Yes
0.05%
No
99.95%
Yes
0.40%
No
99.60%
Yes
0.05%
No
99.95%
Yes
0.05%
No
99.95%
Yes
0.00%
No
100.00%
Yes
0.05%
No
99.95%
Yes
0.00%
No
100.00%
Yes
0.05%
No
99.95%
Yes
8.75%
No
91.25%
Yes
0.05%
No
99.95%
Yes
0.05%
No
99.95%
Yes
0.05%
No
99.95%
Yes
0.00%
No
100.00%
Yes
1.85%
No
98.15%
Yes
0.70%
No
99.30%
Yes
0.00%
No
100.00%
Yes
12.05%
No
87.95%
Yes
16.90%
No
83.10%
Yes
8.25%
No
91.75%
Yes
19.05%
No
80.95%
Yes
0.15%
No
99.85%
Yes
3.30%
No
96.70%
Yes
1.60%
No
98.40%
Yes
20.30%
No
79.70%
Yes
0.00%
No
100.00%
Yes
6.50%
No
93.50%
Yes
0.00%
No
100.00%
Yes
0.00%
No
100.00%
Yes
0.00%
No
100.00%
Yes
0.00%
No
100.00%
Yes
0.00%
No
100.00%
Yes
0.00%
No
100.00%
Yes
0.00%
No
100.00%
Yes
0.00%
No
100.00%
Yes
0.00%
No
100.00%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from January 16 12:00 PM ET to January 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.