<20
ActiveYes
0.05%
No
99.95%
- Market ID
- 1203737
- Volume
- $626,184
- Liquidity
- $241,046
- End Date
- Jan 27, 2026, 5:00 PM
Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.
Yes
0.05%
No
99.95%
Yes
0.05%
No
99.95%
Yes
0.05%
No
99.95%
Yes
0.05%
No
99.95%
Yes
0.05%
No
99.95%
Yes
0.65%
No
99.35%
Yes
0.05%
No
99.95%
Yes
0.55%
No
99.45%
Yes
0.40%
No
99.60%
Yes
0.15%
No
99.85%
Yes
0.15%
No
99.85%
Yes
0.05%
No
99.95%
Yes
0.80%
No
99.20%
Yes
5.50%
No
94.50%
Yes
4.00%
No
96.00%
Yes
6.00%
No
94.00%
Yes
2.15%
No
97.85%
Yes
3.25%
No
96.75%
Yes
3.85%
No
96.15%
Yes
0.15%
No
99.85%
Yes
6.15%
No
93.85%
Yes
0.15%
No
99.85%
Yes
7.70%
No
92.30%
Yes
1.95%
No
98.05%
Yes
5.50%
No
94.50%
Yes
6.05%
No
93.95%
Yes
5.15%
No
94.85%
Yes
1.05%
No
98.95%
Yes
6.90%
No
93.10%
Yes
5.95%
No
94.05%
Yes
4.65%
No
95.35%
Yes
6.50%
No
93.50%
Yes
6.60%
No
93.40%
Yes
8.50%
No
91.50%
Yes
1.45%
No
98.55%
Yes
1.05%
No
98.95%
Yes
0.40%
No
99.60%
Yes
0.25%
No
99.75%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from January 20 12:00 PM ET to January 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.