40-64
ActiveYes
3.70%
No
96.30%
- Market ID
- 1220919
- Volume
- $48,257
- Liquidity
- $3,486
- End Date
- Jan 24, 2026, 5:00 PM
Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.
Yes
3.70%
No
96.30%
Yes
0.80%
No
99.20%
Yes
7.75%
No
92.25%
Yes
1.50%
No
98.50%
Yes
0.55%
No
99.45%
Yes
5.05%
No
94.95%
Yes
22.00%
No
78.00%
Yes
26.00%
No
74.00%
Yes
25.00%
No
75.00%
Yes
13.00%
No
87.00%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from January 22 12:00 PM ET to January 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.