40-59
ActiveYes
0.15%
No
99.85%
- Market ID
- 1225136
- Volume
- $280,308
- Liquidity
- $20,735
- End Date
- Jan 30, 2026, 5:00 PM
Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.
Yes
0.15%
No
99.85%
Yes
0.15%
No
99.85%
Yes
0.15%
No
99.85%
Yes
0.15%
No
99.85%
Yes
0.20%
No
99.80%
Yes
0.20%
No
99.80%
Yes
0.55%
No
99.45%
Yes
0.45%
No
99.55%
Yes
0.80%
No
99.20%
Yes
1.20%
No
98.80%
Yes
1.45%
No
98.55%
Yes
9.50%
No
90.50%
Yes
4.60%
No
95.40%
Yes
1.35%
No
98.65%
Yes
4.50%
No
95.50%
Yes
0.25%
No
99.75%
Yes
9.50%
No
90.50%
Yes
0.80%
No
99.20%
Yes
1.05%
No
98.95%
Yes
0.25%
No
99.75%
Yes
1.85%
No
98.15%
Yes
2.95%
No
97.05%
Yes
2.20%
No
97.80%
Yes
1.75%
No
98.25%
Yes
2.50%
No
97.50%
Yes
0.25%
No
99.75%
Yes
0.65%
No
99.35%
Yes
0.35%
No
99.65%
Yes
5.50%
No
94.50%
Yes
0.25%
No
99.75%
Yes
1.25%
No
98.75%
Yes
2.25%
No
97.75%
Yes
7.50%
No
92.50%
Yes
9.50%
No
90.50%
Yes
9.50%
No
90.50%
Yes
9.50%
No
90.50%
Yes
7.50%
No
92.50%
Yes
5.50%
No
94.50%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from January 23 12:00 PM ET to January 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.