PolymarketActive

Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?

Ticker
fact-check-maduro-capture-staged
Liquidity
$25,244
24h Volume
$5,933
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?

Active

Yes

1.50%

No

98.50%

Market ID
1110978
Volume
$272,851
Liquidity
$25,244
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the operation to capture Nicolás Maduro was staged or pre-arranged with Maduro (i.e., facilitated, permitted, or agreed to in advance such that Maduro’s capture was not the result of an adversarial raid) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Event Stats

Event ID
144065
Start Date
Jan 5, 2026, 2:03 AM
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
1
Total Volume
272.85K
Liquidity
25.24K
Last Updated
Mar 16, 2026, 1:01 AM