PolymarketActive

Fed decision in March?

Ticker
fed-decision-in-march-885
Liquidity
$426,233
24h Volume
$78,041
End Date
Mar 18, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

50+ bps decrease

Active

Yes

1.05%

No

98.95%

Market ID
654412
Volume
$928,111
Liquidity
$125,354
End Date
Mar 18, 2026, 12:00 AM

25+ bps increase

Active

Yes

1.35%

No

98.65%

Market ID
654415
Volume
$872,861
Liquidity
$173,306
End Date
Mar 18, 2026, 12:00 AM

25 bps decrease

Active

Yes

20.50%

No

79.50%

Market ID
654413
Volume
$625,388
Liquidity
$66,445
End Date
Mar 18, 2026, 12:00 AM

No change

Active

Yes

76.50%

No

23.50%

Market ID
654414
Volume
$513,952
Liquidity
$61,128
End Date
Mar 18, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's March 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 17 - 18, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Event Stats

Event ID
67284
Start Date
Oct 29, 2025, 7:04 PM
End Date
Mar 18, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
4
Total Volume
2.94M
Liquidity
426.23K
Last Updated
Mar 15, 2026, 11:46 PM