PolymarketActive

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Ticker
fed-decisions-jan-apr
Liquidity
$119,786
24h Volume
$166.84
End Date
Apr 29, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

Cut–Cut–Cut

Active

Yes

0.65%

No

99.35%

Market ID
950064
Volume
$17,339
Liquidity
$26,994
End Date
Apr 29, 2026, 12:00 AM

Pause–Pause–Pause

Active

Yes

59.50%

No

40.50%

Market ID
950065
Volume
$4,331
Liquidity
$12,733
End Date
Apr 29, 2026, 12:00 AM

Cut–Pause–Pause

Active

Yes

8.70%

No

91.30%

Market ID
950061
Volume
$1,102
Liquidity
$12,435
End Date
Apr 29, 2026, 12:00 AM

Cut–Cut–Pause

Active

Yes

3.60%

No

96.40%

Market ID
950063
Volume
$1,069
Liquidity
$13,332
End Date
Apr 29, 2026, 12:00 AM

Pause–Cut–Pause

Active

Yes

9.00%

No

91.00%

Market ID
950067
Volume
$994.30
Liquidity
$12,270
End Date
Apr 29, 2026, 12:00 AM

Cut–Pause–Cut

Active

Yes

4.90%

No

95.10%

Market ID
950062
Volume
$931.12
Liquidity
$13,178
End Date
Apr 29, 2026, 12:00 AM

Pause–Pause–Cut

Active

Yes

17.50%

No

82.50%

Market ID
950066
Volume
$705.34
Liquidity
$12,919
End Date
Apr 29, 2026, 12:00 AM

Pause–Cut–Cut

Active

Yes

9.85%

No

90.15%

Market ID
950068
Volume
$677.28
Liquidity
$12,672
End Date
Apr 29, 2026, 12:00 AM

Other

Active

Yes

0.30%

No

99.70%

Market ID
950069
Volume
$512.21
Liquidity
$3,254
End Date
Apr 29, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: January 27–28, 2026; March 17-18, 2026; and April 28-29. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

Event Stats

Event ID
106928
Start Date
Dec 16, 2025, 7:46 PM
End Date
Apr 29, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
9
Total Volume
27.66K
Liquidity
119.79K
Last Updated
Mar 15, 2026, 11:46 PM