PolymarketActive

Fed rate cut by...?

Ticker
fed-rate-cut-by-629
Liquidity
$103,737
24h Volume
$9,814
End Date
Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

January Meeting

Active

Yes

1.75%

No

98.25%

Market ID
949492
Volume
$357,567
Liquidity
$38,038
End Date
Jan 28, 2026, 12:00 AM

April Meeting

Active

Yes

42.50%

No

57.50%

Market ID
949494
Volume
$17,736
Liquidity
$15,817
End Date
Apr 29, 2026, 12:00 AM

June Meeting

Active

Yes

65.50%

No

34.50%

Market ID
949495
Volume
$12,880
Liquidity
$24,171
End Date
Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM

March Meeting

Active

Yes

22.50%

No

77.50%

Market ID
949493
Volume
$8,452
Liquidity
$25,711
End Date
Mar 18, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event Stats

Event ID
106884
Start Date
Dec 16, 2025, 7:36 PM
End Date
Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
4
Total Volume
396.64K
Liquidity
103.74K
Last Updated
Mar 15, 2026, 11:46 PM