Fed rate hike in 2026?

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Event Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event Stats

Event ID

101936

Start Date

Dec 10, 2025, 9:11 PM

End Date

Dec 9, 2026, 12:00 AM

Total Markets

1

Total Volume

21.45K

Liquidity

26.73K

Last Updated

Mar 16, 2026, 1:01 AM