Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by March 31?
ActiveYes
3.55%
No
96.45%
- Market ID
- 665512
- Volume
- $6,764
- Liquidity
- $3,989
- End Date
- Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.
Yes
3.55%
No
96.45%
his market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.