PolymarketActive

Gemini 3 score on FrontierMath Benchmark by January 31?

Ticker
gemini-score-on-frontiermath-benchmark-by-november-30
Liquidity
$65,111
24h Volume
$19,924
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

70%+

Active

Yes

1.90%

No

98.10%

Market ID
665294
Volume
$444,409
Liquidity
$23,792
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

50%+

Active

Yes

6.85%

No

93.15%

Market ID
665292
Volume
$413,915
Liquidity
$12,339
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

40%+

Active

Yes

31.50%

No

68.50%

Market ID
665291
Volume
$390,598
Liquidity
$10,134
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

60%+

Active

Yes

4.75%

No

95.25%

Market ID
665293
Volume
$352,635
Liquidity
$18,845
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini 3 model achieves a score of 70% or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event Stats

Event ID
73085
Start Date
Nov 4, 2025, 8:31 PM
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
4
Total Volume
1.6M
Liquidity
65.11K
Last Updated
Feb 1, 2026, 7:46 AM