Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Event Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public. For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0 Flash, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Event Stats

Event ID

103527

Start Date

Dec 12, 2025, 9:56 PM

End Date

Jun 30, 2026, 12:00 AM

Total Markets

1

Total Volume

11.75K

Liquidity

7.21K

Last Updated

Mar 16, 2026, 1:01 AM