PolymarketActive

Google Gemini Parlay

Ticker
google-gemini-parlay
Liquidity
$7,237
24h Volume
-
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

Google Gemini Parlay

Active

Yes

7.50%

No

92.50%

Market ID
695629
Volume
$159,896
Liquidity
$7,237
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Any model owned by Google has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard on January 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. - Google Gemini 3 scores at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam - Gemini 3 scores at least 40% on FrontierMath Benchmark Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Google+Gemini+Parlay.pdf

Event Stats

Event ID
87114
Start Date
Nov 24, 2025, 5:12 PM
End Date
Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
1
Total Volume
159.9K
Liquidity
7.24K
Last Updated
Feb 3, 2026, 12:31 AM