Google Gemini Parlay
ActiveYes
7.50%
No
92.50%
- Market ID
- 695629
- Volume
- $159,896
- Liquidity
- $7,237
- End Date
- Jan 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.
Yes
7.50%
No
92.50%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Any model owned by Google has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard on January 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. - Google Gemini 3 scores at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam - Gemini 3 scores at least 40% on FrontierMath Benchmark Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Google+Gemini+Parlay.pdf