December 31, 2025
ClosedYes
0.00%
No
100.00%
- Market ID
- 573825
- Volume
- $107,893
- Liquidity
- -
- End Date
- Dec 31, 2025, 12:00 AM
PolymarketActive
GPT-6 released by…?
- Ticker
- gpt-6-released-by
- Liquidity
- $29,171
- 24h Volume
- $718.59
- End Date
- Dec 31, 2025, 12:00 AM
Market Overview
Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.
Markets
March 31, 2026
ActiveYes
12.00%
No
88.00%
- Market ID
- 573826
- Volume
- $65,586
- Liquidity
- $8,425
- End Date
- Dec 31, 2025, 12:00 AM
June 30, 2026
ActiveYes
41.00%
No
59.00%
- Market ID
- 676828
- Volume
- $34,086
- Liquidity
- $6,348
- End Date
- Jun 30, 2026, 12:00 AM
December 31, 2026
ActiveYes
82.00%
No
18.00%
- Market ID
- 676829
- Volume
- $19,214
- Liquidity
- $14,397
- End Date
- Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Event Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Event Stats
- Event ID
- 36307
- Start Date
- Aug 7, 2025, 8:45 PM
- End Date
- Dec 31, 2025, 12:00 AM
- Total Markets
- 4
- Total Volume
- 226.78K
- Liquidity
- 29.17K
- Last Updated
- Mar 16, 2026, 1:01 AM