PolymarketActive

Grok 4.20 released by...?

Ticker
grok-4pt20-released-by
Liquidity
$9,394
24h Volume
$20,596
End Date
-

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

December 31

Closed

Yes

0.00%

No

100.00%

Market ID
921938
Volume
$152,957
Liquidity
-
End Date
-

January 15

Closed

Yes

0.00%

No

100.00%

Market ID
921939
Volume
$125,560
Liquidity
-
End Date
-

January 31

Active

Yes

11.50%

No

88.50%

Market ID
921940
Volume
$123,198
Liquidity
$3,257
End Date
-

January 9

Closed

Yes

0.00%

No

100.00%

Market ID
1057548
Volume
$59,082
Liquidity
-
End Date
-

April 20

Active

Yes

96.40%

No

3.60%

Market ID
921941
Volume
$29,214
Liquidity
$6,136
End Date
-

Event Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1 similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Event Stats

Event ID
103635
Start Date
Dec 12, 2025, 9:56 PM
End Date
-
Total Markets
5
Total Volume
490.01K
Liquidity
9.39K
Last Updated
Feb 17, 2026, 9:16 PM