PolymarketActive

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?

Ticker
how-high-will-10-year-treasury-yield-go-by-march-31
Liquidity
$15,962
24h Volume
$9,089
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

4.4%

Active

Yes

46.00%

No

54.00%

Market ID
902255
Volume
$10,566
Liquidity
$2,392
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

4.3%

Active

Yes

98.45%

No

1.55%

Market ID
902253
Volume
$7,930
Liquidity
$2,587
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

4.5%

Active

Yes

38.00%

No

62.00%

Market ID
902258
Volume
$7,761
Liquidity
$3,489
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

4.8%

Active

Yes

7.75%

No

92.25%

Market ID
902263
Volume
$3,362
Liquidity
$3,410
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

5.0%

Active

Yes

5.45%

No

94.55%

Market ID
902265
Volume
$2,425
Liquidity
$2,647
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

4.6%

Active

Yes

14.75%

No

85.25%

Market ID
902260
Volume
$1,616
Liquidity
$1,438
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and March 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

Event Stats

Event ID
101009
Start Date
Dec 9, 2025, 7:24 PM
End Date
Mar 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
6
Total Volume
33.66K
Liquidity
15.96K
Last Updated
Mar 16, 2026, 1:01 AM