PolymarketActive

How long will it take Alex Honnold to free solo Taipei 101?

Ticker
how-long-will-it-take-alex-honnold-to-free-solo-taipei-101
Liquidity
$42,629
24h Volume
$38,757
End Date
Jan 23, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

1 hr 15m - 1 hr 30m

Active

Yes

34.00%

No

66.00%

Market ID
997088
Volume
$60,345
Liquidity
$2,275
End Date
Jan 23, 2026, 12:00 AM

1hr 30m - 1hr 45m

Active

Yes

19.00%

No

81.00%

Market ID
995254
Volume
$49,286
Liquidity
$3,050
End Date
Jan 23, 2026, 12:00 AM

2hr 30m+

Active

Yes

2.45%

No

97.55%

Market ID
995258
Volume
$44,141
Liquidity
$12,343
End Date
Jan 23, 2026, 12:00 AM

<1hr

Active

Yes

4.80%

No

95.20%

Market ID
995253
Volume
$42,206
Liquidity
$4,876
End Date
Jan 23, 2026, 12:00 AM

Not Completed

Active

Yes

6.85%

No

93.15%

Market ID
997089
Volume
$34,143
Liquidity
$4,727
End Date
Jan 23, 2026, 12:00 AM

1hr - 1hr 15m

Active

Yes

17.85%

No

82.15%

Market ID
997082
Volume
$28,605
Liquidity
$2,747
End Date
Jan 23, 2026, 12:00 AM

2hr - 2hr 15m

Active

Yes

3.85%

No

96.15%

Market ID
995256
Volume
$24,260
Liquidity
$3,005
End Date
Jan 23, 2026, 12:00 AM

2hr 15m - 2hr 30m

Active

Yes

6.95%

No

93.05%

Market ID
995257
Volume
$23,505
Liquidity
$5,753
End Date
Jan 23, 2026, 12:00 AM

1hr 45m - 2hr

Active

Yes

10.60%

No

89.40%

Market ID
995255
Volume
$21,452
Liquidity
$3,853
End Date
Jan 23, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

Alex Honnold is scheduled to free solo (climb without ropes or protective equipment) the tallest building in Taiwan (Taipei 101) on a Netflix livestream on January 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Alex Honnold to complete this free solo. Honnold’s free solo will begin when he first leaves the ground and starts climbing or when an on-screen timer of the climb begins (if available). Alex Honnold’s free solo will be considered completed when he finishes the full route depicted as the official climb in the Netflix livestream of the event without the use of ropes or protective equipment. If the livestream presents the climb as ending upon reaching the roof or 101st floor of Taipei 101, the climb will be considered completed when Honnold reaches that point. If the livestream presents the official route as continuing beyond the 101st floor to the top of the building’s spire, the climb will be considered completed when Honnold first reaches the top of the spire. If Alex Honnold completes the free solo in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longest time bracket. If Honnold’s free solo attempt is canceled, postponed after January 31, 2026, abandoned before completion (e.g. he climbs back down or enters the building through a window), or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed". The resolution source for this market will be the Netflix livestream of Honnold’s climb (including an on-screen timer if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event Stats

Event ID
117671
Start Date
Dec 23, 2025, 12:56 AM
End Date
Jan 23, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
9
Total Volume
327.94K
Liquidity
42.63K
Last Updated
Jan 25, 2026, 8:46 AM