PolymarketActive

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Ticker
how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-before-2027
Liquidity
$7,112
24h Volume
$9,113
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

1.0%

Active

Yes

6.10%

No

93.90%

Market ID
677142
Volume
$14,194
Liquidity
$2,438
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

4.0%

Active

Yes

72.10%

No

27.90%

Market ID
677138
Volume
$1,335
Liquidity
$464.54
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

3.9%

Active

Yes

75.95%

No

24.05%

Market ID
677146
Volume
$764.37
Liquidity
$677.84
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

3.5%

Active

Yes

24.00%

No

76.00%

Market ID
677139
Volume
$317.85
Liquidity
$456.26
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

3.8%

Active

Yes

72.00%

No

28.00%

Market ID
677145
Volume
$163.66
Liquidity
$516.47
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

2.0%

Active

Yes

9.50%

No

90.50%

Market ID
677141
Volume
$132.00
Liquidity
$1,303
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

3.7%

Active

Yes

58.00%

No

42.00%

Market ID
677144
Volume
$17.80
Liquidity
$134.87
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

3.0%

Active

Yes

15.00%

No

85.00%

Market ID
677140
Volume
$16.00
Liquidity
$768.99
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

3.6%

Active

Yes

30.50%

No

69.50%

Market ID
677143
Volume
$10.00
Liquidity
$352.34
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

Event Stats

Event ID
79123
Start Date
Nov 12, 2025, 11:04 PM
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
9
Total Volume
16.95K
Liquidity
7.11K
Last Updated
Mar 16, 2026, 12:46 AM