PolymarketActive

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes by January 25?

Ticker
how-many-6pt5-or-above-earthquakes-by-january-25
Liquidity
$11,127
24h Volume
$31,762
End Date
Jan 25, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

0

Active

Yes

58.50%

No

41.50%

Market ID
1198971
Volume
$30,765
Liquidity
$1,561
End Date
Jan 25, 2026, 12:00 AM

>5

Active

Yes

1.30%

No

98.70%

Market ID
1198977
Volume
$21,232
Liquidity
$1,287
End Date
Jan 25, 2026, 12:00 AM

4

Active

Yes

1.25%

No

98.75%

Market ID
1198975
Volume
$14,365
Liquidity
$1,846
End Date
Jan 25, 2026, 12:00 AM

2

Active

Yes

6.00%

No

94.00%

Market ID
1198973
Volume
$11,474
Liquidity
$1,894
End Date
Jan 25, 2026, 12:00 AM

5

Active

Yes

1.50%

No

98.50%

Market ID
1198976
Volume
$9,433
Liquidity
$2,099
End Date
Jan 25, 2026, 12:00 AM

1

Active

Yes

33.00%

No

67.00%

Market ID
1198972
Volume
$7,328
Liquidity
$1,243
End Date
Jan 25, 2026, 12:00 AM

3

Active

Yes

1.95%

No

98.05%

Market ID
1198974
Volume
$7,038
Liquidity
$1,196
End Date
Jan 25, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and January 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until February 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

Event Stats

Event ID
168389
Start Date
Jan 16, 2026, 8:05 PM
End Date
Jan 25, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
7
Total Volume
101.63K
Liquidity
11.13K
Last Updated
Jan 26, 2026, 11:45 AM