PolymarketActive

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

Ticker
how-many-7pt0-or-above-earthquakes-by-june-30
Liquidity
$26,110
24h Volume
$1,161
End Date
Jun 30, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

8+

Active

Yes

63.00%

No

37.00%

Market ID
822854
Volume
$299,752
Liquidity
$3,307
End Date
Jun 30, 2026, 12:00 AM

7

Active

Yes

16.00%

No

84.00%

Market ID
823412
Volume
$130,187
Liquidity
$4,735
End Date
Jun 30, 2026, 12:00 AM

1

Closed

Yes

0.00%

No

100.00%

Market ID
822849
Volume
$111,484
Liquidity
-
End Date
Jun 30, 2026, 12:00 AM

3

Active

Yes

3.40%

No

96.60%

Market ID
822851
Volume
$77,665
Liquidity
$2,971
End Date
Jun 30, 2026, 12:00 AM

4

Active

Yes

4.15%

No

95.85%

Market ID
822852
Volume
$56,648
Liquidity
$1,414
End Date
Jun 30, 2026, 12:00 AM

2

Active

Yes

1.65%

No

98.35%

Market ID
822850
Volume
$37,178
Liquidity
$6,577
End Date
Jun 30, 2026, 12:00 AM

5

Active

Yes

8.50%

No

91.50%

Market ID
822853
Volume
$30,042
Liquidity
$2,141
End Date
Jun 30, 2026, 12:00 AM

0

Closed

Yes

0.00%

No

100.00%

Market ID
822848
Volume
$25,181
Liquidity
-
End Date
Jun 30, 2026, 12:00 AM

6

Active

Yes

8.00%

No

92.00%

Market ID
823411
Volume
$21,171
Liquidity
$4,965
End Date
Jun 30, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

Event Stats

Event ID
97361
Start Date
Dec 4, 2025, 8:35 PM
End Date
Jun 30, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
9
Total Volume
789.31K
Liquidity
26.11K
Last Updated
Mar 16, 2026, 1:01 AM