PolymarketActive

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

Ticker
how-many-7pt0-or-above-earthquakes-in-2026
Liquidity
$33,591
24h Volume
$3,139
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Market Overview

Markets are sorted by active status and volume. Probability history is fetched from Polymarket CLOB for the top market token IDs, similar to Bitcoin.com Markets.

Markets

17–19

Active

Yes

15.00%

No

85.00%

Market ID
1073793
Volume
$83,087
Liquidity
$6,600
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

11–13

Active

Yes

38.50%

No

61.50%

Market ID
1073791
Volume
$80,234
Liquidity
$2,806
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

<5

Active

Yes

1.95%

No

98.05%

Market ID
1073788
Volume
$76,455
Liquidity
$3,853
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

5–7

Active

Yes

5.05%

No

94.95%

Market ID
1073789
Volume
$33,373
Liquidity
$4,167
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

8–10

Active

Yes

13.50%

No

86.50%

Market ID
1073790
Volume
$28,270
Liquidity
$3,239
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

14–16

Active

Yes

21.50%

No

78.50%

Market ID
1073792
Volume
$23,220
Liquidity
$4,354
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

20+

Active

Yes

6.50%

No

93.50%

Market ID
1073794
Volume
$21,263
Liquidity
$8,420
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM

Event Description

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

Event Stats

Event ID
134977
Start Date
Dec 31, 2025, 5:14 PM
End Date
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Total Markets
7
Total Volume
345.9K
Liquidity
33.59K
Last Updated
Mar 16, 2026, 1:01 AM